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Play / 9 games

Every game hidesa real idea.

You’re in Focus mode, so Play is hidden from the menus. The games still work here.

Chance

  1. 01 · Two variables

    Guess the correlation

    Ten scatter plots. Call r by eye. Within 0.10 keeps your streak alive.

  2. 02 · Probability rules

    Three doors

    The game show puzzle that fooled mathematicians. Play it, then run it 1,000 times.

  3. 03 · Counting and the binomial

    Can you fake a coin?

    Type 50 flips that look random. The streaks will give you away.

  4. 04 · Counting and the binomial

    Serve math

    Real 2025 ATP hold rates. See how a small edge on serve points wins sets.

Money

For learning, not advice.

  1. 05 · Random variables and expected value

    The house edge

    Spin a roulette wheel a thousand times, then watch a thousand players do it. The house never loses.

  2. 06 · Probability rules

    Read the odds

    Turn betting lines and prediction market prices into probabilities, and find the bookmaker's cut.

  3. 07 · Confidence intervals

    Don't peek

    Run an A/B test where nothing changed. Check it every day and watch fake winners appear.

  4. 08 · How spread out is it

    The long run

    98 years of real S&P 500 returns. Simulate 2,000 thirty-year futures and see why the average lies.

  5. 09 · The normal curve and z

    Price an option

    Simulate thousands of stock paths and watch the Monte Carlo price close in on Black-Scholes.

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